crypto_quant/core/trade/orb_trade.py

import yfinance as yf
import os
import pandas as pd
import numpy as np
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
import seaborn as sns
import core.logger as logging
from config import OKX_MONITOR_CONFIG, MYSQL_CONFIG, WINDOW_SIZE
from core.db.db_market_data import DBMarketData
from core.db.db_huge_volume_data import DBHugeVolumeData
from core.utils import timestamp_to_datetime, transform_date_time_to_timestamp

# seaborn支持中文
plt.rcParams["font.family"] = ["SimHei"]

logger = logging.logger


class ORBStrategy:
    def __init__(
        self,
        initial_capital=25000,
        max_leverage=4,
        risk_per_trade=0.01,
        commission_per_share=0.0005,
        is_us_stock=False,
    ):
        """
        初始化ORB策略参数
        ORB策略说明：
        1. 每天仅1次交易机会，多头或空头,排除十字星：open1 == close1
        2. 第一根5分钟K线：确定开盘区间（High1, Low1）
        3. 第二根5分钟K线：根据第一根K线方向生成多空信号，open1<close1为多头，open1>close1为空头
        entry_price=第二根K线开盘价，stop_price=第一根K线最低价（多头）或第一根K线最高价（空头）
        4. 多头：跌破止损→止损；突破止盈→止盈
        5. 空头：突破止损→止损；跌破止盈→止盈
        6. 止损/止盈：根据$R计算，$R=|entry_price-stop_price|
        7. 盈利目标：10R，即10*$R
        8. 账户净值曲线：账户价值与市场价格
        :param initial_capital: 初始账户资金（美元）
        :param max_leverage: 最大杠杆倍数（默认4倍，符合FINRA规定）
        :param risk_per_trade: 单次交易风险比例（默认1%）
        :param commission_per_share: 每股交易佣金（美元，默认0.0005）
        """
        logger.info(
            f"初始化ORB策略参数：初始账户资金={initial_capital}，最大杠杆倍数={max_leverage}，单次交易风险比例={risk_per_trade}，每股交易佣金={commission_per_share}"
        )
        self.initial_capital = initial_capital
        self.max_leverage = max_leverage
        self.risk_per_trade = risk_per_trade
        self.commission_per_share = commission_per_share
        self.data = None  # 存储K线数据
        self.trades = []  # 存储交易记录
        self.equity_curve = None  # 存储账户净值曲线
        mysql_user = MYSQL_CONFIG.get("user", "xch")
        mysql_password = MYSQL_CONFIG.get("password", "")
        if not mysql_password:
            raise ValueError("MySQL password is not set")
        mysql_host = MYSQL_CONFIG.get("host", "localhost")
        mysql_port = MYSQL_CONFIG.get("port", 3306)
        mysql_database = MYSQL_CONFIG.get("database", "okx")

        self.db_url = f"mysql+pymysql://{mysql_user}:{mysql_password}@{mysql_host}:{mysql_port}/{mysql_database}"
        self.db_market_data = DBMarketData(self.db_url)
        self.is_us_stock = is_us_stock
        self.output_chart_folder = r"./output/trade_sandbox/orb_strategy/chart/"
        os.makedirs(self.output_chart_folder, exist_ok=True)

    def fetch_intraday_data(self, symbol, start_date, end_date, interval="5m"):
        """
        获取日内5分钟K线数据（需yfinance支持，部分数据可能有延迟）
        :param ticker: 股票代码（如QQQ、TQQQ）
        :param start_date: 起始日期（格式：YYYY-MM-DD）
        :param end_date: 结束日期（格式：YYYY-MM-DD）
        :param interval: K线周期（默认5分钟）
        """
        logger.info(f"开始获取{symbol}数据：{start_date}至{end_date}，间隔{interval}")
        # data = yf.download(
        #     symbol, start=start_date, end=end_date, interval=interval, progress=False
        # )
        data = self.db_market_data.query_market_data_by_symbol_bar(
            symbol, interval, start=start_date, end=end_date
        )
        data = pd.DataFrame(data)
        data.sort_values(by="date_time", inplace=True)
        # 保留核心列：开盘价、最高价、最低价、收盘价、成交量
        data["Open"] = data["open"]
        data["High"] = data["high"]
        data["Low"] = data["low"]
        data["Close"] = data["close"]
        data["Volume"] = data["volume"]
        if self.is_us_stock:
            date_time_field = "date_time_us"
        else:
            date_time_field = "date_time"
        data[date_time_field] = pd.to_datetime(data[date_time_field])
        # data["Date"]为日期，不包括时分秒，即date_time如果是2025-01-01 10:00:00，则Date为2025-01-01
        data["Date"] = data[date_time_field].dt.date
        # 将Date转换为datetime64[ns]类型以确保类型一致
        data["Date"] = pd.to_datetime(data["Date"])

        self.data = data[
            ["symbol", "bar", "Date", date_time_field, "Open", "High", "Low", "Close", "Volume"]
        ].copy()
        self.data.rename(columns={date_time_field: "date_time"}, inplace=True)
        logger.info(f"成功获取{symbol}数据：{len(self.data)}根{interval}K线")

    def calculate_shares(self, account_value, entry_price, stop_price):
        """
        根据ORB公式计算交易股数
        :param account_value: 当前账户价值（美元）
        :param entry_price: 交易entry价格（第二根5分钟K线开盘价）
        :param stop_price: 止损价格（多头=第一根K线最低价，空头=第一根K线最高价）
        :return: 整数股数（Shares）
        """
        logger.info(
            f"开始计算交易股数：账户价值={account_value}，entry价格={entry_price}，止损价格={stop_price}"
        )
        # 计算单交易风险金额（$R）
        risk_per_trade_dollar = abs(entry_price - stop_price)  # 风险金额取绝对值
        if risk_per_trade_dollar <= 0:
            return 0  # 无风险时不交易

        # 公式1：基于风险预算的最大股数（风险控制优先）
        shares_risk = (account_value * self.risk_per_trade) / risk_per_trade_dollar
        # 公式2：基于杠杆限制的最大股数（杠杆约束）
        shares_leverage = (self.max_leverage * account_value) / entry_price
        # 取两者最小值（满足风险和杠杆双重约束）
        max_shares = min(shares_risk, shares_leverage)
        # 扣除佣金影响（简化计算：假设佣金从可用资金中扣除）
        commission_cost = max_shares * self.commission_per_share
        if (account_value - commission_cost) < 0:
            return 0  # 扣除佣金后资金不足，不交易

        return int(max_shares)  # 股数取整

    def generate_orb_signals(self):
        """
        生成ORB策略信号（每日仅1次交易机会）
        - 第一根5分钟K线：确定开盘区间（High1, Low1）
        - 第二根5分钟K线：根据第一根K线方向生成多空信号
        """
        logger.info("开始生成ORB策略信号")
        if self.data is None:
            raise ValueError("请先调用fetch_intraday_data获取数据")

        signals = []
        # 按日期分组处理每日数据
        for date, daily_data in self.data.groupby("Date"):
            daily_data = daily_data.sort_index()  # 按时间排序
            if len(daily_data) < 2:
                continue  # 当日K线不足2根，跳过

            # 第一根5分钟K线（开盘区间）
            first_candle = daily_data.iloc[0]
            high1 = first_candle["High"]
            low1 = first_candle["Low"]
            open1 = first_candle["Open"]
            close1 = first_candle["Close"]

            # 第二根5分钟K线（entry信号）
            second_candle = daily_data.iloc[1]
            entry_price = second_candle["Open"]  # entry价格=第二根K线开盘价
            entry_time = second_candle.date_time  # entry时间

            # 生成信号：第一根K线方向决定多空（排除十字星：open1 == close1）
            if open1 < close1:
                # 第一根K线收涨→多头信号
                signal = "Long"
                stop_price = low1  # 多头止损=第一根K线最低价
            elif open1 > close1:
                # 第一根K线收跌→空头信号
                signal = "Short"
                stop_price = high1  # 空头止损=第一根K线最高价
            else:
                # 十字星→无信号
                signal = None
                stop_price = None

            signals.append(
                {
                    "Date": date,
                    "EntryTime": entry_time,
                    "Signal": signal,
                    "EntryPrice": entry_price,
                    "StopPrice": stop_price,
                    "High1": high1,
                    "Low1": low1,
                }
            )

        # 将信号合并到原始数据
        signals_df = pd.DataFrame(signals)
        # 确保Date列类型一致，将Date转换为datetime64[ns]类型
        signals_df["Date"] = pd.to_datetime(signals_df["Date"])
        # 使用merge而不是join来合并数据,根据signals_df的EntryTime与self.data的date_time进行匹配
        # TODO: 这里需要优化
        self.data = self.data.merge(
            signals_df, left_on="date_time", right_on="EntryTime", how="left"
        )
        # 将Date_x和Date_y合并为Date
        self.data["Date"] = self.data["Date_x"].combine_first(self.data["Date_y"])
        # 删除Date_x和Date_y
        self.data.drop(columns=["Date_x", "Date_y"], inplace=True)
        logger.info(
            f"生成信号完成：共{len(signals_df)}个交易日，其中多头{sum(signals_df['Signal']=='Long')}次，空头{sum(signals_df['Signal']=='Short')}次"
        )

    def backtest(self, profit_target_multiple=10):
        """
        回测ORB策略
        :param profit_target_multiple: 盈利目标倍数（默认10倍$R，即10R）
        """
        logger.info(f"开始回测ORB策略：盈利目标倍数={profit_target_multiple}")
        if "Signal" not in self.data.columns:
            raise ValueError("请先调用generate_orb_signals生成策略信号")

        account_value = self.initial_capital  # 初始账户价值
        current_position = None  # 当前持仓（None=空仓，Long/Short=持仓）
        equity_history = [account_value]  # 净值历史
        trade_id = 0  # 交易ID

        # 按时间遍历数据（每日仅处理第二根K线后的信号）
        for date, daily_data in self.data.groupby("Date"):
            daily_data = daily_data.sort_index()
            if len(daily_data) < 2:
                continue

            # 获取当日信号（第二根K线的信号）
            signal_row = (
                daily_data[~pd.isna(daily_data["Signal"])].iloc[0]
                if sum(~pd.isna(daily_data["Signal"])) > 0
                else None
            )
            if signal_row is None:
                # 无信号→当日不交易，净值保持不变
                equity_history.append(account_value)
                continue

            # 提取信号参数
            signal = signal_row["Signal"]
            if pd.isna(signal):
                continue

            entry_price = signal_row["EntryPrice"]
            stop_price = signal_row["StopPrice"]
            high1 = signal_row["High1"]
            low1 = signal_row["Low1"]
            risk_assumed = abs(entry_price - stop_price)  # 计算$R
            profit_target = (
                entry_price + (risk_assumed * profit_target_multiple)
                if signal == "Long"
                else entry_price - (risk_assumed * profit_target_multiple)
            )

            # 计算交易股数
            shares = self.calculate_shares(account_value, entry_price, stop_price)
            if shares == 0:
                # 股数为0→不交易
                equity_history.append(account_value)
                continue

            # 计算佣金（买入/卖出各收一次）
            total_commission = shares * self.commission_per_share * 2  # 往返佣金

            # 模拟日内持仓：寻找止损/止盈触发点，或当日收盘平仓
            daily_prices = daily_data[
                daily_data.date_time > signal_row.date_time
            ]  # 从entry时间开始遍历
            exit_price = None
            exit_time = None
            exit_reason = None

            for idx, (time, row) in enumerate(daily_prices.iterrows()):
                high = row["High"]
                low = row["Low"]
                close = row["Close"]

                # 检查止损/止盈条件
                if signal == "Long":
                    # 多头：跌破止损→止损；突破止盈→止盈
                    if low <= stop_price:
                        exit_price = stop_price
                        exit_reason = "Stop Loss"
                        exit_time = row["date_time"]
                        break
                    elif high >= profit_target:
                        exit_price = profit_target
                        exit_reason = "Profit Target (10R)"
                        exit_time = row["date_time"]
                        break
                elif signal == "Short":
                    # 空头：突破止损→止损；跌破止盈→止盈
                    if high >= stop_price:
                        exit_price = stop_price
                        exit_reason = "Stop Loss"
                        exit_time = row["date_time"]
                        break
                    elif low <= profit_target:
                        exit_price = profit_target
                        exit_reason = "Profit Target (10R)"
                        exit_time = row["date_time"]
                        break

            # 若未触发止损/止盈，当日收盘平仓
            if exit_price is None:
                exit_price = daily_prices.iloc[-1]["Close"]
                exit_reason = "End of Day (EoD)"
                exit_time = daily_prices.iloc[-1].date_time

            initial_account_value = account_value
            # 计算盈亏
            if signal == "Long":
                profit_loss = (exit_price - entry_price) * shares - total_commission
            else:  # Short
                profit_loss = (entry_price - exit_price) * shares - total_commission

            # 计算盈亏百分比，profit_loss除以当期初始资金
            profit_loss_percentage = (profit_loss / initial_account_value) * 100

            # 更新账户价值
            account_value += profit_loss
            account_value = max(account_value, 0)  # 账户价值不能为负

            # 记录交易
            self.trades.append(
                {
                    "TradeID": trade_id,
                    "Date": date,
                    "Signal": signal,
                    "EntryTime": signal_row.date_time.strftime("%Y-%m-%d %H:%M:%S"),
                    "EntryPrice": entry_price,
                    "ExitTime": exit_time.strftime("%Y-%m-%d %H:%M:%S"),
                    "ExitPrice": exit_price,
                    "Shares": shares,
                    "RiskAssumed": risk_assumed,
                    "ProfitLoss": profit_loss,
                    "ProfitLossPercentage": profit_loss_percentage,
                    "ExitReason": exit_reason,
                    "AccountValueInitial": initial_account_value,
                    "AccountValueAfter": account_value,
                }
            )

            # 记录净值
            equity_history.append(account_value)
            trade_id += 1

        # 生成净值曲线
        self.create_equity_curve()

        # 输出回测结果
        trades_df = pd.DataFrame(self.trades)
        total_return = (
            (account_value - self.initial_capital) / self.initial_capital * 100
        )
        win_rate = (
            (trades_df["ProfitLoss"] > 0).sum() / len(trades_df) * 100
            if len(trades_df) > 0
            else 0
        )
        # 计算盈亏比
        profit_sum = trades_df[trades_df["ProfitLoss"] > 0]["ProfitLoss"].sum()
        loss_sum = abs(trades_df[trades_df["ProfitLoss"] < 0]["ProfitLoss"].sum())
        if loss_sum == 0:
            profit_loss_ratio = float('inf')
        else:
            profit_loss_ratio = (profit_sum / loss_sum) * 100

        logger.info("\n" + "=" * 50)
        logger.info("ORB策略回测结果")
        logger.info("=" * 50)
        logger.info(f"初始资金：${self.initial_capital:,.2f}")
        logger.info(f"最终资金：${account_value:,.2f}")
        logger.info(f"总收益率：{total_return:.2f}%")
        logger.info(f"总交易次数：{len(trades_df)}")
        logger.info(f"盈亏比：{profit_loss_ratio:.2f}%")
        logger.info(f"胜率：{win_rate:.2f}%")
        if len(trades_df) > 0:
            logger.info(f"平均每笔盈亏：${trades_df['ProfitLoss'].mean():.2f}")
            logger.info(f"最大单笔盈利：${trades_df['ProfitLoss'].max():.2f}")
            logger.info(f"最大单笔亏损：${trades_df['ProfitLoss'].min():.2f}")

    def create_equity_curve(self):
        """
        创建账户净值曲线
        """
        equity_curve_list = []
        # 将self.data.index[0].Date的值转换为字符串，且格式为YYYY-MM-DD
        first_date = self.data.iloc[0].date_time.strftime("%Y-%m-%d %H:%M:%S")
        first_open = float(self.data.iloc[0].Open)
        equity_curve_list.append(
            {
                "DateTime": first_date,
                "AccountValue": self.initial_capital,
                "MarketPrice": first_open,
            }
        )
        for trade in self.trades:
            equity_curve_list.append(
                {
                    "DateTime": trade["ExitTime"],
                    "AccountValue": trade["AccountValueAfter"],
                    "MarketPrice": trade["ExitPrice"],
                }
            )
        self.equity_curve = pd.DataFrame(equity_curve_list)
        self.equity_curve.sort_values(by="DateTime", inplace=True)
        self.equity_curve.reset_index(drop=True, inplace=True)

    def plot_equity_curve(self):
        """
        绘制账户净值曲线
        """
        logger.info("开始绘制账户净值曲线")
        if self.equity_curve is None:
            raise ValueError("请先调用backtest进行回测")

        # seaborn风格设置
        sns.set_theme(style="whitegrid")
        # plt.rcParams['font.family'] = "SimHei"
        plt.rcParams["font.sans-serif"] = ["SimHei"]  # 也可直接用字体名
        plt.rcParams["font.size"] = 11  # 设置字体大小
        plt.rcParams["axes.unicode_minus"] = False  # 解决负号显示问题

        symbol = self.data.iloc[0].symbol
        bar = self.data.iloc[0].bar
        first_account_value = self.equity_curve.iloc[0]["AccountValue"]
        first_market_price = self.equity_curve.iloc[0]["MarketPrice"]
        account_value_to_1 = self.equity_curve["AccountValue"] / first_account_value
        market_price_to_1 = self.equity_curve["MarketPrice"] / first_market_price
        plt.figure(figsize=(12, 6))
        plt.plot(self.equity_curve["DateTime"], account_value_to_1, label="账户价值", color='blue', linewidth=2, marker='o', markersize=4)
        plt.plot(self.equity_curve["DateTime"], market_price_to_1, label="市场价格", color='green', linewidth=2, marker='s', markersize=4)
        plt.title(f"ORB策略账户净值曲线 {symbol} {bar}", fontsize=14, fontweight='bold')
        plt.xlabel("时间", fontsize=12)
        plt.ylabel("涨跌变化", fontsize=12)
        plt.legend(fontsize=11)
        plt.grid(True, alpha=0.3)

        # 设置x轴标签，避免matplotlib警告
        # 选择合适的时间间隔显示标签，避免过于密集
        if len(self.equity_curve) > 30:
            # 如果数据点较多，选择间隔显示，但确保第一条和最后一条始终显示
            step = max(1, len(self.equity_curve) // 30)
            
            # 创建标签索引列表，确保包含首尾数据
            label_indices = [0]  # 第一条
            
            # 添加中间间隔的标签
            for i in range(step, len(self.equity_curve) - 1, step):
                label_indices.append(i)
            
            # 添加最后一条（如果还没有包含的话）
            if len(self.equity_curve) - 1 not in label_indices:
                label_indices.append(len(self.equity_curve) - 1)
            
            # 设置x轴标签
            plt.xticks(self.equity_curve["DateTime"].iloc[label_indices], 
                        self.equity_curve["DateTime"].iloc[label_indices], 
                        rotation=45, ha='right', fontsize=10)
        else:
            # 如果数据点较少，全部显示
            plt.xticks(self.equity_curve["DateTime"], 
                        self.equity_curve["DateTime"], 
                        rotation=45, ha='right', fontsize=10)
        plt.tight_layout()
        save_path = f"{self.output_chart_folder}/{symbol}_{bar}_orb_strategy_equity_curve.png"
        plt.savefig(save_path, dpi=150, bbox_inches='tight')
        plt.close()


# ------------------- 策略示例：回测QQQ的ORB策略（2016-2023） -------------------
if __name__ == "__main__":

    # 初始化ORB策略
    orb_strategy = ORBStrategy(
        initial_capital=25000,
        max_leverage=4,
        risk_per_trade=0.01,
        commission_per_share=0.0005,
    )

    # 1. 获取QQQ的5分钟日内数据（2024-2025，注意：yfinance免费版可能限制历史日内数据，建议用专业数据源）
    orb_strategy.fetch_intraday_data(
        symbol="ETH-USDT", start_date="2025-05-15", end_date="2025-08-20", interval="5m"
    )

    # 2. 生成ORB策略信号
    orb_strategy.generate_orb_signals()

    # 3. 回测策略（盈利目标10R）
    orb_strategy.backtest(profit_target_multiple=10)

    # 4. 绘制净值曲线
    orb_strategy.plot_equity_curve()